August 31 2011
Bad Summer for ObamaCare
ObamaCare will not be running for Homecoming Queen this fall. Although never popular, this law's polling numbers got even worse over the summer. According to Rasmussen Reports, the margin favoring repeal of the law reached 20 points this week. Jeffrey Anderson of the Weekly Standard blog explores the Rasmussen polling numbers even further:
If this news weren't bad enough for the White House's current occupant, independent voters are even less fond of Obamacare than voters as a whole. By a tally of 58 to 37 percent, independents support repeal. Among independents who feel "strongly" (either way), 49 percent support repeal, while only 21 percent oppose it - nearly one-half to barely one-fifth.
It's hardly just independents, however, that want to give Obamacare the boot. Support for repeal outpaces opposition to repeal among men, women, people who are married, people who are single, all age-groups (even the under-30 group), and all income levels (even the under $20,000 group).
It's worth noting that Rasmussen uses likely voters as their sample, as opposed to other polling groups (Gallup, Pew, Kaiser, etc.) that attempt to measure feelings among all Americans or all adults.
In May, the Independent Women's Forum published a Health Care Polling Update that pointed out some major trends in the public opinion of ObamaCare. Since then, generally speaking, ObamaCare has lost some support regardless of which group is doing the polling. According to the most recent Kaiser poll, 39 percent of Americans hold a favorable view (down from 42 percent in May) while 44 percent hold an unfavorable view.
Over the summer, two major reports (one from McKinsey & Co. and one from Towers Watson) about employer-sponsored health insurance have probably troubled many Americans who might have otherwise felt apathetic or favorable toward the law. On Capitol Hill, a couple of hearings about the Independent Payment Advisory Board also brought attention to the law's looming effects on Medicare, and both Republicans and Democrats have voiced opposition to this part of ObamaCare.
Also, while one appellate circuit (the Sixth Circuit) ruled in June that ObamaCare should stand, more recently the Eleventh Circuit ruled that the law's individual mandate is not Constitutional and should be struck from the law. This ruling, while not the final word on ObamaCare, would almost certainly have an effect on public opinion as it brought even more weight to the plaintiffs' claims and marked the first time that a Democrat-appointed judge ruled against ObamaCare.
It seems that as time goes on, more Americans are becoming more strongly opposed to ObamaCare. Although the White House seems determined to make the law popular, they've got an awfully long way to go.